Example) Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis 3ED, Chapter 9. Q1.
A coin is thrown independently 10 times to test the hypothesis that the probability of head is \frac {1}{2} . H_{1}: p\neq \frac {1}{2}. The test rejects if either 0 or 10 heads are observed.
a) What's the significance level of test?
b) If in fact, the probability of head is 0.1. What's the power of the test?
\triangleright Think First!
This is a binomial example. X~Bin(10, 0.5) as a coin is thrown 10 times and the probability of head is 0.5.
\triangleright Solution (a)
\alpha = P(reject H_{0} |H_{0} is true) = P(X=0 | H_{0}) + P(X=10 | H_{0})
Under H_{0}, \alpha = \binom{10}{0}(0.5)^0(0.5)^{10}+ \binom{10}{10}(0.5)^{10}(0.5)^0 = \frac{1}{1024}+\frac{1}{1024}= 0.0020
\triangleright Solution (b)
1-\beta = P(reject H_{0} when H_{1} is true) = P(X=0|H_{1})+P(X=10|H_{1})
= \binom{10}{0}(0.1)^0(0.9)^{10}+ \binom{10}{10}(0.1)^{10}(0.9)^0 = 0.3487
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