Example) Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis 3ED, Chapter 9. Q1.
A coin is thrown independently 10 times to test the hypothesis that the probability of head is $\frac {1}{2}$ . $H_{1}: p\neq \frac {1}{2}$. The test rejects if either 0 or 10 heads are observed.
a) What's the significance level of test?
b) If in fact, the probability of head is 0.1. What's the power of the test?
$\triangleright$ Think First!
This is a binomial example. X~Bin(10, 0.5) as a coin is thrown 10 times and the probability of head is 0.5.
$\triangleright$ Solution (a)
$\alpha =$ P(reject $H_{0}$ |$H_{0}$ is true) = P(X=0 | $H_{0}$) + P(X=10 | $H_{0}$)
Under $H_{0}$, $\alpha = \binom{10}{0}(0.5)^0(0.5)^{10}+ \binom{10}{10}(0.5)^{10}(0.5)^0 = \frac{1}{1024}+\frac{1}{1024}=$ 0.0020
$\triangleright$ Solution (b)
$1-\beta$ = P(reject $H_{0}$ when $H_{1}$ is true) = P(X=0|$H_{1}$)+P(X=10|$H_{1}$)
= $\binom{10}{0}(0.1)^0(0.9)^{10}+ \binom{10}{10}(0.1)^{10}(0.9)^0 =$ 0.3487
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